Sarah Palin exits a voting booth in 2008. Credit: Shealah Craighead.

Republicans may spend a lot of money to lose races in the Senate

The GOP could lose Senate races in Pennsylvania, Illinois, Wisconsin, New Hampshire, North Carolina and Missouri, which would end two brief years of Republican control of Congress. Senate aides say "the reason we don't hold the Senate, if we don't, is because of Donald Trump."

“What has to sting Republican strategists most is that they have the opposite problem in 2016 that they had in 2012.” Trump is polling five points behind down-ballot GOP candidates, whereas Romney polled five points ahead.

The GOP is closing the spending gap, but because their ad dollars are being spent so much later in the game, ad time is more expensive, and they’re getting less bang for their buck.

Oct 27, 2016

While Republicans acknowledge they’re exiting October in worse shape than they ever imagined, they believe it’s possible Trump has hit rock bottom and can’t pull the House GOP any further down with him.

With all three debates in the rearview mirror, House Republicans are hoping Trump can’t do any more to sabotage their hopes of retaining a majority.
↩︎ Politico
Oct 27, 2016

The only thing rigged about the election is gerrymandered control of the House. Republicans in state governments redrew 193 districts to their liking in 2010, whereas Democrats redrew just 44. That's led to bizarre results. "Pennsylvania favored the Democrats by nearly 100,000 votes, but the sophisticated new lines returned a delegation that somehow broke 13 to 5 for the GOP."

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