Oroville dam (2014). Credit: Ray Bouknight.

Engineers and environmentalists saw issues coming. Now a "nightmare scenario" is in play.

"It worked fine until it had to be used, in which case it didn't work so well." 

Regarding the Oroville disaster, California water districts refused to pay the cost it would take to pave the spillway; now flooded, it is quickly eroding, which is what engineers and environmentalists have been warning would happen for decades.

With the water pooling beneath the weir holding the dam back, a "nightmare scenario" is in play: 23 million people and the entire San Joaquin Valley could lose water if the thing breaks.

Feb 14, 2017

As climate change progresses, expect many more Oroville Dam disasters.

"The situation at Oroville Dam comes as much of California is suffering from climate whiplash," following a rapid switch from drought to record-breaking precipitation.

That kind of extreme weather is closely linked with climate change. Moreover, dams like Oroville are generally calibrated to withstand only historic levels of precipatation. With climate change expected to yield new record highs, that assumption looks deadly

Feb 14, 2017

Nature discovers the errors in your design pretty quickly. And that's basically what happened.

Brief but terrifying radio interview with a civil engineer about Oroville Dam.
↩︎ NPR
Feb 14, 2017

Oroville presents ambiguous evidence for dam advocates and opponents.

California dam politics are darn contentious. For example, environmentalists have been fighting for decades to dismantle the Hetch-Hetchy Reservoir, created when a valley adjacent to Yosemite–and allegedly as beautiful–was flooded and dammed to provide water for San Francisco.

The basic argument is that most of the nation's dams are extraneous and outdated, artifacts of a bygone age that almost inevitably destroy river ecosystems. Plenty of people will see Oroville as evidence that dams are ticking time bombs, capable of frightening catastrophe upon failure.

But others will take the opposite tack, arguing that Northern California needs more dams, not fewer, to deal with the conversion of its water sources from snowpack to rainfall in a warming climate.

Feb 14, 2017
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